| This
book sets out to explore how humans and the society they have created
may evolve in the future. Technological developments such as sentient
robots and human brains uploaded into computers are no longer the
stuff of science fiction; by now they are widely described and almost
assumed by futurist writers. But little has been written on how
such novelties will interact with our complex, deeply rooted psyches
and the societal forms we inhabit.
The underlying theme
of the book is that the development of our current society, and
therefore its future course, can only be understood in terms of
the human propensity to form groups. This innate propensity evolved
early in the history of homo sapiens and was a necessary foundation
for the achievement of the human race in dominating its environment
through collective action.
For many hundreds of
thousands or even millions of years, humans' skill at group-oriented
behaviour played a central role in the evolution of human psychology
and human culture, and underlay the development of all early societal
forms, including the formalization of kin-group relationships such
as marriage, the adoption of moral rules, the use of trade, and
finally the emergence of hierarchical structures in society which
allowed cities and even empires to thrive.
Until relatively recently,
the collective basis of the human psyche remained the strongest
driving force of our social behaviour. In the last two thousand
years, however, religions - aided and abetted by temporal powers
- gradually assumed moral hegemony in human affairs, usurping the
leadership of the collective. Finally, in the last few hundred years
only, technology, and specifically the invention of printing, allowed
the emerging nation state to assert its dominance over all aspects
of human life, subverting many of the social mechanisms that previously
gave moral coherence to our existence.
For all that it was
an inevitable and to some extent even beneficial stage in the development
of our modern world, the nation state robs people of the ethical
basis historically provided by the collective and challenges the
individual to assert her own moral position. Alongside the development
of the nation state, therefore, has come a cult of individuality,
and an expansion of human consciousness to reinvent and accommodate
the apparently lost ethical basis of life.
This is the reality
that underlies the frequently bewailed moral desert of modern society,
the appearance of selfish individuality as a guiding principle of
existence, and as a consequence the retreat of highly sophisticated
citizens of advanced countries into the arms of revivalist religions.
This book, however,
delivers an optimistic message: that technology, especially in the
form of the Internet, and globalization - these two in fact can
hardly be separated - will reclaim major fields of human endeavour
for the direct involvement of people, largely bypassing the nation
state, and will engineer a return to happier and more satisfying
types of human interaction.
To many people, these
assertions will seem outlandish. For a start, most people envision
'globalization' as a soul-destroying process in which the twin molochs
of government and international finance become ever more remote
from individuals. The reality is exactly the opposite of this picture,
painted so vividly by the anti-globalizers. Globalization, far from
strengthening the State, weakens it as the unstoppable tide of rule-based
international governance laps at its foundations.
Book One, 'Globalization',
sketches the detail of this process, already surprisingly far advanced,
under the five headings of Economics, Culture, Taxation, the Law
and Politics.
Then, some will ask,
how can the chaotic Internet play any useful role in improving our
society? The answer is that for all its inoherence - even perhaps
because of it - the Internet is a superlative associative mechanism.
More than any other means of human expression or communication,
it doesn't just allow affiliation, it drives and strengthens it,
fuelled by the human need to group together. And like globalization,
the Internet bypasses the State in favour of structures formed by
direct interaction between individuals. The two will in fact work
together to reinforce each other. The final chapter of Book One,
devoted to the Internet, enlarges on these themes.
Finally, many will
say that it is highly speculative to place so much importance on
the group-centred origins and underpinnings of human behaviour.
Indeed, the cult of individualism has gone so far in walling off
our minds from our collective natures that it is has become extremely
difficult to unearth the truth, buried in deep, unconscious layers
of our psyches. For this reason, the book begins with an Introduction
devoted to a description of how our modern society evolved. As will
be seen, a phalanx of eminent writers across a wide range of disciplines,
including Anthropology, Sociology, Economics and Psychology, agree
that we would be nothing without groups, and that the development
of society can only adequately be understood from a 'groupish' perspective
(there are no satisfactory dictionary words to stand for the clumsy
and inadequate 'group-centred', or the somewhat tainted 'collective'
- the words 'groupish' and 'groupishness' are used by a number of
the authors quoted in the Introduction, and their example will be
followed in this work). The Introduction therefore includes a number
of references, to support the crucial importance placed here on
the collective basis of our psyches.
Book Two tracks the
future of major human institutions such as the nation state and
language as globalization and technology begin have their effect
during the first 50 years of the 21st century. Perfect, real-time
translation, electricity-generating forests, robot pets, an Olympics
for bionic people, access to the human subconscious, the end of
compulsory work, electronic human clones, cinemas without screens,
personal immortality, the beginnings of space colonization - all
these and many, many more innovations are likely to exist by 2060
or will be on the verge of realization. The ongoing development
of 'people power' expressed through the Internet is expected to
culminate in the final isolation of nation states and the creation
of a world political union with direct electronic voting available
to all individuals. And human groupishness will flower as electronic
cognitive meeting spaces allow people to think, feel and create
together with an intensity we can only guess at from our solitary
individuality.
Book Three is a futuristic
imaginary journey through the whole of the 21st century and beyond,
building on the trends and advances mapped out in Book Two to create
a vision of a very different, but still human world at the beginning
of the 22nd century.
Finally, a series of
Appendices contain much detailed supporting material for organizations,
assertions and ideas introduced in the narrative text, which would
have hindered readability if included in the main flow.
For anyone who is sceptical
about the benefits of globalization, Book One is a necessary introduction
to the remainder of the work; but for anyone who is prepared to
take on trust the benign inevitability of globalization, Books Two
and Three can be read independently of Book One.
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